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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
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There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~ |
There Qual é a fórmula de conversão de probabilidades: Uma breve explicaçãoA conversão de probabilidades é um conceito importante em estatística e probabilidade, e é frequentemente utilizado em áreas como ciência de dados, finanças e jogos de azar. No entanto, muitas pessoas podem achar difícil de entender como calcular a conversão de probabilidades. Neste artigo, vamos discutir a fórmula de conversão de probabilidades e como ela pode ser aplicada em diferentes situações. Vamos também fornecer exemplos práticos para ajudar a ilustrar o conceito. O que é a conversão de probabilidades?A conversão de probabilidades é o processo de converter uma probabilidade expressa como uma fração ou decimal para uma probabilidade expressa como um número entre 0 e 1. Isso é útil em situações em que é necessário comparar diferentes probabilidades ou quando é necessário calcular a probabilidade de um evento condicional. A fórmula de conversão de probabilidadesA fórmula de conversão de probabilidades é dada por: P(A) = Odds(A) / (Odds(A) + 1) onde:
Por exemplo, se a probabilidade de um evento A acontecer for 0,8, então a probabilidade expressa como uma odds seria: Odds(A) = 0,8 / (1 - 0,8) = 4 Aplicação da fórmula de conversão de probabilidadesA fórmula de conversão de probabilidades pode ser aplicada em diferentes situações. Por exemplo, se você quiser calcular a probabilidade de um evento condicional, como a probabilidade de chover amanhã, dado que está chovendo hoje, você pode usar a fórmula de conversão de probabilidades. Suponha que a probabilidade de chover amanhã se não estiver chovendo hoje seja 0,2, e a probabilidade de chover amanhã se estiver chovendo hoje seja 0,8. A probabilidade de chover amanhã dado que está chovendo hoje pode ser calculada como: P(chover amanhã | chovendo hoje) = P(chover amanhã e chovendo hoje) / P(chovendo hoje) Se a probabilidade de chover amanhã e chovendo hoje for 0,16 e a probabilidade de chover hoje for 0,2, então a probabilidade de chover amanhã dado que está chovendo hoje seria: P(chover amanhã | chovendo hoje) = 0,16 / 0,2 = 0,8 ConclusãoA conversão de probabilidades é uma ferramenta importante em estatística e probabilidade, e a fórmula de conversão de probabilidades pode ser usada para calcular a probabilidade de um evento condicional. Com a prática, é possível aplicar a fórmula de conversão de probabilidades em diferentes situações e obter resultados precisos. Espero que este artigo tenha ajudado a esclarecer a fórmula de conversão de probabilidades e como ela pode ser usada. Obrigado por ler! A empresa também afirmou que você precisaria de pelo menos 112GB o espaço livre para pletar a atualização com os tamanho ♣ final da instalação, Call of Duty: Black Ops 4 em como fazer apostas de futebol tornode 55MB.Call Of dutie : Preto No 04 Data ♣ do lançamento e Requisiitos no sistema Update: Call of Duty Warzone Mobile's global release window has officially been pushed to Spring 2024. Mobile will stay mobile and focus on quick multiplayer games and possibly zombies.... warzone will be strictly BR. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D~ |
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(Free Shipping!) "Throughout the book I felt the author was reaching out to people like me and telling us that he wants to be our brother in Christ and to join hands with us in the ongoing work of missions and evangelism... It is the best book I have read explaining Seventh-Day Adventism."
~ Tony Campolo, Ph.D ~
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(Free Shipping!) There has never been a more exciting time for worhsip in the Kingdom of God on earth. The power of corporate worship is bringing healings and visible manifestations of God's presence in many places, including our own house of worship. In addition, God is bursting beyond church walls to take His anointing to the streets through His people. This book contains a series of edited sermons on worship preached by the senior pastor of Kingdom Life Fellowship.
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful "Adventism for a New Generation" (already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume Jesus for a New Generation, is the result. The Heresies of Jesus was born out of an in depth study of the words Jesus spoke and the conflicts and confrontations he encountered as recorded in the Gospels. Each of its twelve chapters focus on a different heresy that Jesus was branded with by the religious establishment of his day. But what makes these heresies so fascinating is their obvious relevance to those who seek to follow Jesus today. As you read them you too may hear the call to become a heretic with Jesus for the kindgom of God.
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(Free Shipping!) These are challenging times to be raising children. As a Christian father, I first became aware that I needed a book like this when my pre-adolescent daughter began to pepper me with questions of a sexual nature. She was already being exposed to some rather bizarre ideas about sex in the first grade. Therefore, my primary motivation for creating this reader was to help my wife and I meet the needs of our daughter and her younger brother. However, it is also my hope that other parents will find this book to be a helpful tool as well.
Research, experience, and common sense all tell us that pre-adolescent children between the ages of 5 and 10 are much more curious and receptive to parental ideas concerning sex than teenagers or adolescents. Yet, traditionally if Christian parents have attempted to provide their children with any kind of sex education at all, it has often been a rather awkward attempt to briefly present the "facts of life" at the dawning of adolescence.
This approach seems unfortunate for two reasons. The first reason is because most young people have already obtained the most basic factual information about sex from any number of potential sources before adolescence strikes. So once it becomes a reality, they feel that their parent's feeble efforts to communicate on this important topic are "too little and too late." They often feel embarrassed that their parents are "out of touch" or may even feel conscious or unconscious resentment that they had to learn about sex on their own at an age when their parents seemed unwilling or unable to talk openly with them about their sexual curiosity.
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful Adventism for a New Generation (Already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume The Heresies of Jesus, is the result. Jesus for a New Generation was born out of an in depth study of the words and principles spoken by Jesus in the gospels. Each chapter develops one of the twelve major priorities that Jesus emphasized most, during his astonishing ministry on earth. The appendix also contains a unique comprehensive concordance to the words of Jesus that prioritize them according to their numerical use. This tool will give you the ability to effectively study and apply the puzzling priorities of Jesus to your own life, today.
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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
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The Prophetic Rift II
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church
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The Prophetic Rift
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church