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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
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There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~ |
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Quais são as probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias no casino?
No mundo dos cassinos, as probabilidades podem parecer um mistério, especialmente quando se trata de sequências de vitórias. No entanto, é possível calcular as probabilidades matematicamente. Neste artigo, vamos explorar as probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias no casino e como isso pode afetar seu jogo.
Como calcular as probabilidades
Para calcular as probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias, é preciso entender como as probabilidades funcionam. Em geral, as probabilidades são calculadas como o número de resultados desejáveis dividido pelo número total de resultados possíveis. Por exemplo, se você jogar um jogo de moeda, as probabilidades de acertar "cara" são de 1 em 2, porque há apenas uma maneira de acertar "cara" e duas maneiras possíveis de jogar a moeda.
No entanto, quando se trata de cassinos, as coisas podem se tornar um pouco mais complicadas. Por exemplo, se você estiver jogando um jogo de roleta, as probabilidades de acertar um número específico são de 1 em 37, porque há 37 números no total no cilindro de roleta.
Probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias
Agora que sabemos como calcular as probabilidades, vamos ver como isso se aplica a uma sequência de vitórias no cassino. Suponha que você esteja jogando um jogo de blackjack e que você tenha acertado as últimas cinco mãos. As probabilidades de você acertar a próxima mão também são de 1 em 37, certo?
Infelizmente, as coisas não são tão simples assim. As probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias são calculadas multiplicando as probabilidades de cada vitória individual. Isso significa que, se as probabilidades de você acertar uma mão de blackjack são de 1 em 37, as probabilidades de você acertar cinco mãos seguidas seriam de (1/37) x (1/37) x (1/37) x (1/37) x (1/37), o que resulta em uma probabilidade muito pequena.
O que isso significa para você
Então, o que isso significa para você como jogador de cassino? Em primeiro lugar, é importante lembrar que as probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias são muito pequenas. Isso significa que, à medida que bet mr jack sequência de vitórias se alonga, as chances de continuar vencendo se tornam cada vez menores.
No entanto, isso não significa que você não deva jogar. Em vez disso, é importante lembrar de jogar com responsabilidade e de se fixar limites claros para si mesmo. Além disso, é importante lembrar que o jogo de cassino é suposto ser divertido, então certifique-se de se divertir enquanto joga.
Em resumo, as probabilidades de uma sequência de vitórias no cassino são muito pequenas, mas isso não deve impedi-lo de jogar e se divertir. Basta lembrar de jogar com responsabilidade e de se fixar limites claros para si mesmo.
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(Free Shipping!) "Throughout the book I felt the author was reaching out to people like me and telling us that he wants to be our brother in Christ and to join hands with us in the ongoing work of missions and evangelism... It is the best book I have read explaining Seventh-Day Adventism."
~ Tony Campolo, Ph.D ~
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(Free Shipping!) There has never been a more exciting time for worhsip in the Kingdom of God on earth. The power of corporate worship is bringing healings and visible manifestations of God's presence in many places, including our own house of worship. In addition, God is bursting beyond church walls to take His anointing to the streets through His people. This book contains a series of edited sermons on worship preached by the senior pastor of Kingdom Life Fellowship.
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful "Adventism for a New Generation" (already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume Jesus for a New Generation, is the result. The Heresies of Jesus was born out of an in depth study of the words Jesus spoke and the conflicts and confrontations he encountered as recorded in the Gospels. Each of its twelve chapters focus on a different heresy that Jesus was branded with by the religious establishment of his day. But what makes these heresies so fascinating is their obvious relevance to those who seek to follow Jesus today. As you read them you too may hear the call to become a heretic with Jesus for the kindgom of God.
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(Free Shipping!) These are challenging times to be raising children. As a Christian father, I first became aware that I needed a book like this when my pre-adolescent daughter began to pepper me with questions of a sexual nature. She was already being exposed to some rather bizarre ideas about sex in the first grade. Therefore, my primary motivation for creating this reader was to help my wife and I meet the needs of our daughter and her younger brother. However, it is also my hope that other parents will find this book to be a helpful tool as well.
Research, experience, and common sense all tell us that pre-adolescent children between the ages of 5 and 10 are much more curious and receptive to parental ideas concerning sex than teenagers or adolescents. Yet, traditionally if Christian parents have attempted to provide their children with any kind of sex education at all, it has often been a rather awkward attempt to briefly present the "facts of life" at the dawning of adolescence.
This approach seems unfortunate for two reasons. The first reason is because most young people have already obtained the most basic factual information about sex from any number of potential sources before adolescence strikes. So once it becomes a reality, they feel that their parent's feeble efforts to communicate on this important topic are "too little and too late." They often feel embarrassed that their parents are "out of touch" or may even feel conscious or unconscious resentment that they had to learn about sex on their own at an age when their parents seemed unwilling or unable to talk openly with them about their sexual curiosity.
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful Adventism for a New Generation (Already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume The Heresies of Jesus, is the result. Jesus for a New Generation was born out of an in depth study of the words and principles spoken by Jesus in the gospels. Each chapter develops one of the twelve major priorities that Jesus emphasized most, during his astonishing ministry on earth. The appendix also contains a unique comprehensive concordance to the words of Jesus that prioritize them according to their numerical use. This tool will give you the ability to effectively study and apply the puzzling priorities of Jesus to your own life, today.
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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
$19.95
Also Available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble!
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
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The Prophetic Rift II
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(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church
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The Prophetic Rift
$17.69
$13.58
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church