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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
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There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~ |
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Qual é o retorno médio de uma aposta de arbitragem?
No mundo dos jogos de azar e das apostas, é comum que as pessoas busquem sempre a maior vantagem possível. Uma delas é a arbitragem, também conhecida como "arbi". Mas o que realmente significa isso e qual é o retorno médio de uma aposta de arbitragem? Vamos descobrir!
O que é arbitragem?
A arbitragem é uma técnica que permite aos apostadores tirar proveito de diferenças de cotas entre diferentes casas de apostas ou eventos desportivos. Isso significa que é possível fazer uma aposta em todos os resultados possíveis de um evento, garantindo um lucro, independentemente do resultado final.
Como funciona a arbitragem?
A arbitragem funciona através da identificação de diferenças de cotas entre diferentes casas de apostas. Suponha que haja duas casas de apostas, A e B, que oferecem cotas diferentes para o mesmo evento. Se a casa de apostas A oferecer uma cota de 2,5 para uma equipe vencer e a casa de apostas B oferecer uma cota de 3,0 para a mesma equipe perder, é possível fazer uma aposta em ambos os resultados e garantir um lucro.
Casa de apostas | Cota | Aposta | Lucro |
---|---|---|---|
Casa de apostas A | 2,5 | R$ 100,00 | R$ 50,00 |
Casa de apostas B | 3,0 | R$ 66,67 | R$ 33,33 |
Neste exemplo, é possível fazer uma aposta de R$ 100,00 na casa de apostas A e uma aposta de R$ 66,67 na casa de apostas B. Se a equipe vencer, receberá R$ 250,00 na casa de apostas A e perderá R$ 66,67 na casa de apostas B, resultando em um lucro líquido de R$ 183,33. Se a equipe perder, receberá R$ 200,00 na casa de apostas B e perderá R$ 100,00 na casa de apostas A, resultando em um lucro líquido de R$ 100,00.
Qual é o retorno médio de uma aposta de arbitragem?
O retorno médio de uma aposta de arbitragem depende de vários fatores, como as cotas oferecidas, o valor da aposta e o risco envolvido. No entanto, é possível calcular o retorno esperado de uma aposta de arbitragem usando a seguinte fórmula:
Retorno = (Cota da casa de apostas A x Aposta na casa de apostas A) + (Cota da casa de apostas B x Aposta na casa de apostas B) - (Aposta total)
No exemplo anterior, o retorno seria de:
Retorno = (2,5 x R$ 100,00) + (3,0 x R$ 66,67) - (R$ 100,00 + R$ 66,67)
Retorno = R$ 183,33 + R$ 200,00 - R$ 166,67
Retorno = R$ 116,66
Portanto, o retorno médio de uma aposta de arbitragem neste exemplo seria de R$ 116,66, o que representa uma taxa de retorno de 17,5% sobre o valor total da aposta.
Conclusão
A arbitragem é uma técnica interessante para aqueles que querem tirar proveito de diferenças de cotas entre diferentes casas de apostas. No entanto, é importante lembrar que a arbitragem não é uma forma garantida de ganhar dinheiro e que o risco está sempre presente. Além disso, é importante estar ciente das leis e regulamentos locais em relação às apostas online e garantir que estejamos atuando de acordo com a lei.
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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
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The Prophetic Rift II
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church
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The Prophetic Rift
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church