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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
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There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~ |
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clientes. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D~ |
Quem define as probabilidades para as casas de apostas no Brasil?
No mundo dos jogos de azar e das casas de apostas, as probabilidades desempenham um papel fundamental. Elas indicam a probabilidade de um determinado resultado acontecer e servem como base para o cálculo das ganhos potenciais dos jogadores. Mas quem define essas probabilidades? É isso que iremos esclarecer neste artigo.
O papel das casas de apostas
As casas de apostas são as encarregadas de definir as probabilidades para os diferentes eventos e mercados disponíveis para apostas. Elas utilizam algoritmos e modelos estatísticos sofisticados para avaliar a probabilidade de cada resultado, levando em consideração uma variedade de fatores, como o histórico de desempenho dos times ou atletas, as condições do jogo e as lesões, entre outros.
A influência dos corredores de apostas
Além das próprias casas de apostas, os corredores de apostas também exercem uma certa influência na definição das probabilidades. Esses intermediários trabalham em nome das casas de apostas e são responsáveis por ajustar as cotas em resposta à demanda dos jogadores. Assim, se um time ou atleta estiver recebendo mais apostas do que o esperado, o corredor de apostas poderá ajustar as cotas para reduzir o risco da casa de apostas.
A importância dos dados e estatísticas
A precisão das probabilidades definidas pelas casas de apostas depende em grande parte da qualidade e quantidade de dados e estatísticas disponíveis. Portanto, as casas de apostas investem significantemente em parcerias com fornecedores de dados e em tecnologias de análise avançadas para garantir que as suas probabilidades sejam o mais precisas e atualizadas possível.
O papel dos regulamentos e autoridades de licenciamento
Por fim, é importante mencionar que as autoridades de licenciamento e regulamentos também desempenham um papel importante na definição das probabilidades nas casas de apostas. No Brasil, o setor de jogos de azar e casas de apostas é regulamentado pela Caixa Econômica Federal, que é responsável por garantir que as casas de apostas operem de acordo com as regras e normas estabelecidas. Isso inclui a definição de probabilidades justas e transparentes para todos os jogadores.
Em resumo, as probabilidades nas casas de apostas são definidas por uma combinação de fatores, incluindo algoritmos sofisticados, análise de dados e estatísticas, influência dos corredores de apostas e regulamentos governamentais. Compreender como as probabilidades são definidas é essencial para os jogadores que desejam maximizar suas chances de sucesso nas casas de apostas.
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~ Tony Campolo, Ph.D ~
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Research, experience, and common sense all tell us that pre-adolescent children between the ages of 5 and 10 are much more curious and receptive to parental ideas concerning sex than teenagers or adolescents. Yet, traditionally if Christian parents have attempted to provide their children with any kind of sex education at all, it has often been a rather awkward attempt to briefly present the "facts of life" at the dawning of adolescence.
This approach seems unfortunate for two reasons. The first reason is because most young people have already obtained the most basic factual information about sex from any number of potential sources before adolescence strikes. So once it becomes a reality, they feel that their parent's feeble efforts to communicate on this important topic are "too little and too late." They often feel embarrassed that their parents are "out of touch" or may even feel conscious or unconscious resentment that they had to learn about sex on their own at an age when their parents seemed unwilling or unable to talk openly with them about their sexual curiosity.
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful Adventism for a New Generation (Already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume The Heresies of Jesus, is the result. Jesus for a New Generation was born out of an in depth study of the words and principles spoken by Jesus in the gospels. Each chapter develops one of the twelve major priorities that Jesus emphasized most, during his astonishing ministry on earth. The appendix also contains a unique comprehensive concordance to the words of Jesus that prioritize them according to their numerical use. This tool will give you the ability to effectively study and apply the puzzling priorities of Jesus to your own life, today.
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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
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The Prophetic Rift II
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church
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The Prophetic Rift
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church