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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
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There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~ |
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Quais são as probabilidades da aposta do polvo no Brasil?
No Brasil, as apostas desportivas estão em alta, e uma delas é a "aposta do polvo". Mas o que é e quais são as suas probabilidades?
A "aposta do polvo" é uma aposta colaborativa em que os participantes tentam adivinhar o resultado de determinados eventos esportivos. O nome vem do famoso "oráculo" polvo Paul, que se tornou famoso durante a Copa do Mundo de 2010, quando "previra" corretamente o resultado de vários jogos.
Quanto às probabilidades, elas variam constantemente e dependem de vários fatores, como o desempenho dos times, lesões, clima, etc. No entanto, é possível avaliar as probabilidades geralmente aceitas para um determinado jogo ou evento.
Por exemplo, se duas equipas com probabilidades iguais estiverem a jogar um jogo, as probabilidades serão aproximadamente 2.0 para cada equipa. Isso significa que, se você apostar R$ 100, você receberá R$ 200 se a equipa em que você apostar ganhar. No entanto, se uma equipa tiver uma probabilidade maior do que a outra, as probabilidades serão mais baixas.
É importante lembrar que as apostas desportivas, incluindo a "aposta do polvo", envolvem risco e não há garantia de ganhar. Portanto, é recomendável apenas apostar o dinheiro que se está disposto a perder. Além disso, é importante verificar as leis e regulamentos locais sobre apostas desportivas.
Como calcular as probabilidades na aposta do polvo?
Como mencionado anteriormente, as probabilidades variam constantemente e dependem de vários fatores. No entanto, é possível calcular as probabilidades gerais aceitas para um determinado jogo ou evento.
Uma forma simples de calcular as probabilidades é usar a fórmula: probabilidade = 1 / (risco * benefício). Nesta fórmula, "risco" refere-se à probabilidade de perder a aposta, e "benefício" refere-se à quantia que você receberá se a aposta ganhar.
Por exemplo, se as probabilidades de uma equipe ganhar forem de 2.0, a probabilidade de perder a aposta será de 0.5 (ou 50%). Se você apostar R$ 100 e ganhar, receberá R$ 200. Portanto, o benefício será de R$ 100.
Portanto, a probabilidade será calculada da seguinte forma: probabilidade = 1 / (0.5 * 100) = 0.02 ou 2%. Isso significa que as probabilidades gerais aceitas para essa equipe seriam de 2%.
Conclusão
A "aposta do polvo" é uma forma divertida e emocionante de se envolver em apostas desportivas, mas é importante lembrar que ela envolve risco e não há garantia de ganhar. As probabilidades variam constantemente e dependem de vários fatores, mas é possível avaliar as probabilidades geralmente aceitas para um determinado jogo ou evento. Além disso, é recomendável apenas apostar o dinheiro que se está disposto a perder e verificar as leis e regulamentos locais sobre apostas desportivas.
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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
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The Prophetic Rift II
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church
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The Prophetic Rift
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church