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Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
Also Available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble!
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority. ~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~ |
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Como Encontrar as Verdadeiras Probabilidades: Uma Guia Completa
As probabilidades são um conceito fundamental em estatística e matemática, e desempenham um papel crucial em muitas áreas da nossa vida, desde o jogo até às apostas desportivas e à tomada de decisões financeiras. No entanto, muitas pessoas têm dificuldade em entender como calcular e aplicar probabilidades de forma eficaz.
Neste artigo, vamos mostrar-lhe como encontrar as verdadeiras probabilidades, usando exemplos práticos e técnicas comprovadas. Vamos começar por definir o que são as probabilidades e por que elas são importantes, antes de mergulhar em métodos específicos para calcular probabilidades.
O que é uma Probabilidade?
Em termos simples, uma probabilidade é uma medida da probabilidade de que um evento ocorra ou não. É expressa como um número entre 0 e 1, onde 0 significa que o evento nunca acontecerá e 1 significa que o evento acontecerá sempre. Por exemplo, se você jogar um dado justo, a probabilidade de rolar um 6 é de 1/6 ou aproximadamente 0,17.
Por que as Probabilidades São Importantes?
As probabilidades são importantes porque nos ajudam a tomar decisões informadas e a avaliar os riscos. Por exemplo, se você estiver pensando em investir em ações, as probabilidades podem ajudá-lo a avaliar o risco potencial e a decidir se vale a pena o risco. Da mesma forma, se você for um apostador desportivo, as probabilidades podem ajudá-lo a avaliar as chances de um time ou jogador vencer e a tomar decisões informadas sobre em quem apostar.
Como Calcular Probabilidades
Há muitos métodos diferentes para calcular probabilidades, dependendo do tipo de evento e dos dados disponíveis. Alguns dos métodos mais comuns incluem:
- Método Clássico: Este método é usado quando todos os resultados possíveis são conhecidos e são igualmente prováveis. Por exemplo, se você jogar um dado justo, pode usar o método clássico para calcular a probabilidade de cada número.
- Método Empírico: Este método é usado quando se dispõe de dados históricos sobre eventos passados. Por exemplo, se você quiser calcular a probabilidade de chuva num determinado dia, pode consultar dados históricos sobre o tempo nas datas anteriores.
- Método Subjetivo: Este método é usado quando as informações são incertas ou incompletas. Neste caso, a probabilidade é baseada na opinião pessoal ou no julgamento de um indivíduo.
Exemplo Prático
Vamos supor que queira calcular a probabilidade de sortear um
Descubra os melhores palpites e estratégias para aumentar suas chances de vitória
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Faça sites de apostas esportivas que dao bonus pesquisa.
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sites de apostas esportivas que dao bonussaque minimo na betanoAdventism for a New Generation
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(Free Shipping!) "Throughout the book I felt the author was reaching out to people like me and telling us that he wants to be our brother in Christ and to join hands with us in the ongoing work of missions and evangelism... It is the best book I have read explaining Seventh-Day Adventism."
~ Tony Campolo, Ph.D ~
The Wonder-Full World of Worship
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(Free Shipping!) There has never been a more exciting time for worhsip in the Kingdom of God on earth. The power of corporate worship is bringing healings and visible manifestations of God's presence in many places, including our own house of worship. In addition, God is bursting beyond church walls to take His anointing to the streets through His people. This book contains a series of edited sermons on worship preached by the senior pastor of Kingdom Life Fellowship.
The Heresies of Jesus - Getting Heretical with the Radical Christ
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful "Adventism for a New Generation" (already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume Jesus for a New Generation, is the result. The Heresies of Jesus was born out of an in depth study of the words Jesus spoke and the conflicts and confrontations he encountered as recorded in the Gospels. Each of its twelve chapters focus on a different heresy that Jesus was branded with by the religious establishment of his day. But what makes these heresies so fascinating is their obvious relevance to those who seek to follow Jesus today. As you read them you too may hear the call to become a heretic with Jesus for the kindgom of God.
Jesus My Body and Me
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(Free Shipping!) These are challenging times to be raising children. As a Christian father, I first became aware that I needed a book like this when my pre-adolescent daughter began to pepper me with questions of a sexual nature. She was already being exposed to some rather bizarre ideas about sex in the first grade. Therefore, my primary motivation for creating this reader was to help my wife and I meet the needs of our daughter and her younger brother. However, it is also my hope that other parents will find this book to be a helpful tool as well.
Research, experience, and common sense all tell us that pre-adolescent children between the ages of 5 and 10 are much more curious and receptive to parental ideas concerning sex than teenagers or adolescents. Yet, traditionally if Christian parents have attempted to provide their children with any kind of sex education at all, it has often been a rather awkward attempt to briefly present the "facts of life" at the dawning of adolescence.
This approach seems unfortunate for two reasons. The first reason is because most young people have already obtained the most basic factual information about sex from any number of potential sources before adolescence strikes. So once it becomes a reality, they feel that their parent's feeble efforts to communicate on this important topic are "too little and too late." They often feel embarrassed that their parents are "out of touch" or may even feel conscious or unconscious resentment that they had to learn about sex on their own at an age when their parents seemed unwilling or unable to talk openly with them about their sexual curiosity.
The second reason is that adolescence is a period where young people begin to establish their own independent identity. It is risky and unrealistic for us as parents to assume that our children will be particularly receptive to our Christian or moral values relating to sex at this stage in their development.
Jesus for a New Generation
$15.52
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(Free Shipping!) Following his highly successful Adventism for a New Generation (Already through three printings) which carries the endorsement and forward of Tony Campolo, Steve Daily has spent the past three years devotionally saturating himself with the life and teachings of Jesus. This book, with its companion volume The Heresies of Jesus, is the result. Jesus for a New Generation was born out of an in depth study of the words and principles spoken by Jesus in the gospels. Each chapter develops one of the twelve major priorities that Jesus emphasized most, during his astonishing ministry on earth. The appendix also contains a unique comprehensive concordance to the words of Jesus that prioritize them according to their numerical use. This tool will give you the ability to effectively study and apply the puzzling priorities of Jesus to your own life, today.
The Miracle Meal
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(Free Shipping!) This book contains a series of seven life-changing sermons on the subject of the Lord's Supper that were preached as a series by Senior Pastor Steve Daily, at Celebration Center Church in Redlands, California, in the fall of 2006. Jesus said, "Unless you eat my flesh and drink my blood, you have no life in you" (John 6:53). Could it be that much of the powerless Christianity we see in churches today can be traced to our misunderstanding, and failure of faith, with regards to His words? This book explores the incredible power and potential that resides in the symbols of the bread and wine that Jesus gave us. A powerful new generation is emerging today, who take Jesus at His word and receive this miraculous ministry from His own hand.
Saving Your Marriage Without a Counselor
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(Free Shipping!) "This book contains a wealth of information that is exciting, well researched and of great value to any spouse who will take the time to read it. Given the cultural crisis that faces us, we need more books like this, that elevate the priority of putting our kids first, and that value marriage and family in a healthy and balanced manner. Those of us who care about preserving the foundational family principals which have made this nation great, need to stick together. Saving Your Marriage is powerful, practical, spiritual and includes many important insights about counseling and therapy that every potential client should consider. I commend the material in this comprehensive volume and admire the author even when I don't agree with him." Dr. Laura Schlessinger - National Syndicated Talk Show Host
Ellen G. White - A Psychobiography
$19.95
Also Available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble!
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
There are only two works in Adventism that have attempted to apply some psychological evaluation to Ellen White, an activity that is nearly considered to be blasphemous by many Adventists. Janet Numbers Swain has written a valuable chapter in the revised edition of her husband’s, Prophetess of Health, which will be addressed in chapter three. Bernie Irwin wrote a sympathetic or apologetic psychobiography of the young Ellen, entitled, Ellen White We Never Knew You. The primary value of this volume as I see it, is that it provides a genogram or ancestral chart of the Ellen Gould Harmon White family, and a number of historical insights into the families’ background that are largely based on an unpublished paper by Ron Graybill, former associate director of the White Estate. I have prayed that, if my own attempt at psychobiography provided in this book will do more harm than good, God will not allow it to be completed or published. Otherwise, it is my hope and prayer that many who have been harmed by religious bondage and spiritual fraud will experience deliverance as well as new found freedom. And that this volume will contribute to the growing literature of psychobiography, as well as to raise important questions about the nature of religion and religious authority.
~ Steve Daily, Ph.D ~
The Prophetic Rift II
$17.69
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(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church
The Prophetic Rift
$17.69
$13.58
(Free Shipping!) This is a book about how Seventh-day Adventism has historically misunderstood and misapplied the prophetic gift. Ellen White and her prophetic ministry are generally referred to by Adventists as the Spirit of Prophecy. But, this label belongs to the "testimony of Jesus" in Scripture, and not to any single human being. Adventists originally imposed an Old Testament understanding of prophecy on Ellen White as a seventeen-year-old woman because they did not have a healthy understanding of New Testament prophecy, and Ellen White, in turn, imposed this view on herself. The rest is history, but history that can still be changed--by God's grace!
WHAT OTHERS SAY ABOUT THE AUTHOR
"Steve Daily is the brightest student that I have ever had"
Dr. Joseph Hough, President of Union Theological Seminary and Professor at Harvard, Vanderbilt, and Claremont.
"This two volume set combines Steve's commitment to scholarly research with his knack for addressing highly relevant and controversial issues in the most stimulating and insightful manner. It is a huge challenge to present Adventist thinking in a radically honest context, that is still gracious and redemptive.
Rudy Torres, former Sr. Pastor Sligo SDA Church